Federated Learning for Market Surveillance

Sammanfattning

The increasing complexity of trading strategies, when combined with machine learning models, forces market surveillance corporations to develop increasingly sophisticated methods for recognizing potential misuse. One strategy is to employ traders’ weapons against themselves, namely machine learning. However, the data utilized in market surveillance is highly sensitive, what may be available for machine learning is limited. In this thesis, we examine how federated learning for time series data can be used to identify potential market abuse while maintaining client privacy and data security. We are interested in developing a time-series-specific neural network employing federated learning. We demonstrate that when this strategy is used, the performance of detecting potential market abuse is comparable to that of the standard data centralized approach. Specifically, a non-federated model, a federated model, and a federated model with extra data privacy and security protection are evaluated and compared. Each model utilize an LSTM autoencoder to identify market abuse. The results demonstrate that a federated model’s performance in detecting possible market abuse is comparable to that of a non-federated model. Moreover, a federated approach with extra data privacy and security experienced a slight performance loss but is still a competitive model in comparison to the other models. Although this approach results in increased privacy and security, there is a limit to how much privacy and security can be ensured, as excessive privacy led to extremely poor performance. Federated learning offers the ability to increase data privacy and security with little performance decrease.